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the football factory

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Transitions in South America coupled with store closures in China drove a decline in Nike’s margins and sentiments, says GlobalData, a leading data and analytics company.

GlobalData’s company filing analytics platform found that Nike’s overall sentiment score declined by 9.4 percent in Q4 2019 (ending February 29, 2020) compared to Q3 2019 (ending November 30, 2019).

Despite reporting a good quarterly revenue growth, Nike’s sentiments were affected due to the impact on its net income in the quarter. Transitions in the South American business, the coronavirus outbreak and rising North American tariffs resulted in a net income decline of 24 percent (quarter-on-quarter [Q-O-Q]) in Q4 2019. Also, year-on-year (YoY) growth rates across Q1-Q3 2019 were positive, while Q4 declined by 32 percent (YoY decline compared to Q4 2018). During the quarter, the company announced strategic distributor partnerships to focus on a more consumer driven approach in the region. Non-recurring charges related to the strategy amounted to US$ 425m.

Greater China has been a growth engine for the footwear and apparel giant in past quarters. In 2018, China generated 16 percent of the overall revenue. Sales in the mainland fell in Q4 2019 after posting double digit growth in the past 22 consecutive quarters.

Chinese sales fell 5 percent (year-on-year) in Q4 2019 despite a strong digital segment growth (30 percent year-on-year). Margins were affected by the closure of 5,000 Chinese stores during Q4 2019.

Aurojyoti Bose, Lead Analyst at GlobalData, says: “To mitigate the COVID-19 impact, Nike is focused on driving direct-to-consumer sales and increasing inventories by targeting digital sales, product launches and supply chain improvements.”

The co-existence of COVID-19 with incremental tariffs prompted Nike to slowly shift its resources to other countries such as Vietnam, to reduce over-reliance on China for production.

With the pandemic stabilizing in China, Nike reopened 80% of its stores in the country. Post the announcement, investor sentiments grew, as average share prices in the fourth week of March (ended 27 March 2020) were 11 percent higher when compared to the previous week.

Bose adds: “Nike expects to implement its Chinese business recovery strategy (focus on digital growth) in Europe and the US, where the company’s sales in upcoming quarters are likely be affected due to store closures.

“In the West, the company initially planned on reopening stores by 27 March, but prolonged disruptions forced the sportswear brand to consider store resumptions on a location-by-location basis.”

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If international celebrities are doing it, can Indian icons be far behind? Of course not!

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The Indian apparel market is witnessing high growth in the kidswear segment. The Indian kidswear market in 2017 was estimated at Rs 66,904 crore accounting for 20 percent of total apparel market of the country. Kidswear is expected to grow at CAGR of 8.1 percent to reach Rs 145,445 crore by 2027, whereas men’s wear and women’s wear are expected to grow at relatively lesser CAGRs of 7.5 percent and 7.6 percent respectively. India has the world’s largest young population in the age group 0 to 14 years accounting for 29 percent (337 million) of the total population. Owing to the growth potential of this market segment, many international brands have entered India in last few years. With emergence of e-commerce, earlier hitherto markets have opened up, thus boosting growth of kidswear in India. With the increasing competition, success has to be a combination of high quality, good design and right value for money product.

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The next unicorns share their views on how they are using technology and innovating new retail ideas:

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Inner wear is another promising category in women’s wear and growing at a CAGR of 11.8 percent. It is expected to reach the size of Rs 56,364 crore by 2027 from the current market size of Rs 18,454 crore, as per the report.

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The collaboration with Bose follows Tommy Hilfiger’s wider strategy to use TommyNow as an incubator for innovation to test, evolve and integrate new technology that ties pop culture together. This includes partnering with technology enterprises such as e-Novia, which introduces the driverless delivery vehicle YAPE to the world of Tommy Hilfiger. As part of Tommy Hilfiger’s campaign to partner with emerging talents who inject a cool twist into its campaigns, YAPE delivered Spring 2018 looks to influencers, including music artist Christian ‘King’ Combs, before the show.

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